Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfb80132d90ee285afe56dad5c316ab3a453f19a5c0511f3400d8be2e7b4795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 731$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 699.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 619.73$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 532.73$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 440.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 386.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 326.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 245.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 18c | 232.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 208.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 206.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 204.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 27c | 189.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 188.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 188.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 183.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 164.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d07…9ac2backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 136.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 121.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 95.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 87.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 75.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 65.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 57.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…13c5backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 41.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 40.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 39.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 31.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…8d79backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.