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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity43c5,000$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.8847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked VP.Prodigy53c4,425$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.3177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy57c4,161$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.491,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity36c3,876$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.6848057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked VP.Prodigy62c3,080$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.81,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity65c3,057$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.021,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy62c2,548$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.442,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked VP.Prodigy49c2,510$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity32c2,434$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.1747650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Zero Tenacity42c2,387$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.3930667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked VP.Prodigy35c1,582$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Zero Tenacity68c1,483$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Zero Tenacity26c1,392$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.6714825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed VP.Prodigy63c1,023$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.4454246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity59c700$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked VP.Prodigy48c699.97$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4610653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy53c674.49$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.4571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed VP.Prodigy57c652.06$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5934442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked VP.Prodigy62c645.83$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked VP.Prodigy63c564.23$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1915050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity31c542.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed VP.Prodigy56c536.32$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.516055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity29c499.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity47c478.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.61,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Zero Tenacity40c434.24$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2453844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity25c403.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4120442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed VP.Prodigy57c377.33$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1451049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed VP.Prodigy26c343.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.37341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed VP.Prodigy69c299.12$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1191553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed VP.Prodigy65c271.45$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2926147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed VP.Prodigy35c262.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.918046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked VP.Prodigy39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.529047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked VP.Prodigy71c246.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17515069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked VP.Prodigy64c224.65$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.231,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Zero Tenacity46c213.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4820767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Zero Tenacity35c182.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.866451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity56c179.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9746049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity43c158.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.261,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked VP.Prodigy52c142.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked VP.Prodigy60c139.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked VP.Prodigy26c138.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9628145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked VP.Prodigy55c137.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2554648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed VP.Prodigy79c130$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.731865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Zero Tenacity30c130$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9131052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed VP.Prodigy59c124.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8412065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked VP.Prodigy64c124.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7916139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.832756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Zero Tenacity21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7929550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Zero Tenacity38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Zero Tenacity38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Zero Tenacity44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed Zero Tenacity15c99.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4819839.4%78 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed VP.Prodigy68c99.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9724138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Zero Tenacity64c95.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.898469%58 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed VP.Prodigy26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked VP.Prodigy45c89.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed VP.Prodigy56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Zero Tenacity45c89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Zero Tenacity49c81.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7212132.2%39 W · 82 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed VP.Prodigy57c70.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015940.9%65 W · 94 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed VP.Prodigy57c68.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Zero Tenacity59c67.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8438759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf438…9901backed Zero Tenacity20c67.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.154228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Zero Tenacity65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9118356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity24c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed VP.Prodigy53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3278516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VP.Prodigy25c59.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.931,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4b…50c5backed Zero Tenacity42c55.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.363455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked VP.Prodigy70c54.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.774768.1%32 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked VP.Prodigy65c54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.114655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zero Tenacity44c52.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5865647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked VP.Prodigy55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…5ceebacked Zero Tenacity31c48.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.325851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked Zero Tenacity33c45.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.33920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed VP.Prodigy45c40.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.164650%23 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Zero Tenacity51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.640745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity58c32.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5738244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff9e…5b04backed VP.Prodigy78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked VP.Prodigy56c31.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.913286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Zero Tenacity39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7e…b429backed Zero Tenacity75c29.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea52…7c37backed VP.Prodigy77c28.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed VP.Prodigy49c27.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5881345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed VP.Prodigy69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed VP.Prodigy65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.