MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a78293b0a055791c465043e4047e869d06ae496a7e55a0b5336cf9a5dc95159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof LG Twins, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed LG Twins | 62c | 2,500$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.47 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed LG Twins | 54c | 1,810$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.67 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 1,443$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.99 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 1,213$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed LG Twins | 47c | 859.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 731.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 707.95$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 651.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.26 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed LG Twins | 64c | 495.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 60c | 451.2$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed LG Twins | 66c | 382.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 283.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 281.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed LG Twins | 38c | 263.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 254$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed LG Twins | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…264fbacked LG Twins | 68c | 193.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 152.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…9ad9backed LG Twins | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 139.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Kia Tigers | 17c | 139.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 135.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LG Twins | 66c | 128.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 123.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed LG Twins | 69c | 110.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed LG Twins | 66c | 97.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked LG Twins | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 92.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 85.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LG Twins | 44c | 79.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 29c | 71.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 68.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 68.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed LG Twins | 61c | 60.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 58.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 34c | 58.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 52.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…16a2backed LG Twins | 23c | 48.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked LG Twins | 62c | 48.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed LG Twins | 42c | 46.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 44.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 33.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked LG Twins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…b830backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked LG Twins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed LG Twins | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 63c | 23.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 63c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked LG Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.