Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78450e4b177e4393e7c9c17fc3dc537e5fdff9e40c8fa26b7b40f933bd04205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.18 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 5c | 5,731$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,822$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 7c | 1,557$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,471$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 24c | 995.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 71c | 785.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 745.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 21c | 638.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 6c | 614.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 18c | 527.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 303 | 43.2%131 W · 172 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 4c | 458.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 443.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 6c | 433.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…531bbacked Yes | 32c | 369.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 62c | 305.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 51c | 258$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…21e8backed Yes | 37c | 247.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 30c | 230.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 226.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 40c | 214.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 28c | 177.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 6c | 177.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 65c | 154.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 153.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 17c | 116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 40c | 107.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed Yes | 40c | 99.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 32c | 89.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…e0ffbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…d453backed No | 64c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 79c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 20 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 20 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.