Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d7cc443bc838b6c4aab151b4c368af325130df9f8831105f528fd10d271140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 18c | 32,062$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 19c | 22,398$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 18c | 12,200$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 18c | 9,760$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 18c | 8,540$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 17c | 6,948$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.15 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 4,250$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 18c | 4,060$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…ea4fbacked Yes | 80c | 3,595$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.08 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 19c | 1,849$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 19c | 1,834$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 9c | 1,772$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 19c | 1,234$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked No | 1c | 937.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 14c | 800$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 3c | 753.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 22c | 693.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 22c | 693.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 549$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 448.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 18c | 443.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed No | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 418.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 19c | 317.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 19c | 245.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…7042backed No | 9c | 229.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 18c | 222.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 18c | 202.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 22c | 172.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 20c | 162.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 140.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 8c | 139.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…6fe4backed Yes | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 20c | 79.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 20c | 61.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 18c | 56.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 80c | 50.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 79c | 44.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…9b47backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.