Fifa International · resolved market
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976bd9189182c8adae5105146a318f2f39e8f13347f373a831b4d1f39d16510c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 635.56$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 38c | 548$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 71c | 544.77$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 45c | 463.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 443.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 13c | 419.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 326.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…08bebacked Yes | 16c | 243.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 196.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 182.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 24c | 155.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 137.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 119.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 13cpaid | +973.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…f299backed Yes | 14c | 105.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 53c | 96.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 92.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…33d6backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 51c | 60.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 47c | 57.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 51c | 56.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 47c | 52.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…c63dbacked No | 79c | 51.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 46.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 45.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…ee06backed Yes | 46c | 43.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…964abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked Yes | 41c | 33.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed No | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3f…5e72backed Yes | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 45c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…f6acbacked No | 75c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…b4c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 19.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cody Gakpo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ferran Torres win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Nick Woltemade win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.