TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes13c189.31$24 inLost-$24.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+202.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes27c181.48$49 inLost-$4915722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes25c170.06$42 inLost-$42.4112038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No73c106.54$78 inWon+$28.7745736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90a…06b7backed Yes28c100$28 inLost-$283542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No72c100$72 inWon+$283823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No75c96.48$73 inWon+$23.7321958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No79c92.35$73 inWon+$1946047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes16c83.83$14 inLost-$13.826216.1%10 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes23c65.84$15 inLost-$15.1411058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No75c61$46 inWon+$15.2564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c58$14 inLost-$14.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No71c54.41$39 inWon+$15.8192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No79c52.33$41 inWon+$10.9615158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51d…1578backed No70c50.64$36 inWon+$14.953545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed No50c50$25 inWon+$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No75c50$38 inWon+$12.523245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fa…8135backed Yes25c50$13 inLost-$12.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No77c46.36$36 inWon+$10.6618246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No51c46$23 inWon+$22.7628554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No54c39.58$21 inWon+$18.312,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No75c34.99$26 inWon+$8.742,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No74c30$22 inWon+$7.813060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No75c30$23 inWon+$7.510164.4%65 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No73c30$22 inWon+$8.114055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No70c24$17 inWon+$7.214858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No72c22.21$16 inWon+$6.2218053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.