Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe097155ccb34724b8ff7800f099f92abf67f081e737aabf8378f2cfdc9f14b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 70c | 714.9$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 23c | 379.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 11c | 242.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 8c | 222.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…8891backed No | 14c | 221.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 57c | 215$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 15c | 214.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 203.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 9c | 134$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 11c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 122.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 111.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 96.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 93.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 65c | 86.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 39c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 58.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 73c | 52.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 50.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 76c | 46.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 45.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 33.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 32.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 75c | 22.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 76c | 16.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cody Gakpo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ferran Torres win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Nick Woltemade win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.