AI · resolved market
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05cd840549d507b819c67a7491339938fe76107cd9a663b712200efa7f1d5bcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,163 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 33c | 1,385$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 67c | 865$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 44c | 845.92$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.22 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 65c | 756.36$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 35c | 359$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 65c | 287$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…898dbacked Yes | 36c | 278$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…628cbacked Yes | 36c | 277$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 65c | 275$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 67c | 261$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 67c | 259$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…80a8backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…808bbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…23a5backed Yes | 33c | 245.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…853cbacked Yes | 36c | 223$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…47b6backed Yes | 36c | 223$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…26afbacked Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…b3d0backed Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…4951backed Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…b5abbacked Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 70c | 212.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 19c | 171.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 67c | 169.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 160.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…f9f4backed No | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 34c | 153.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…1351backed No | 64c | 147$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…f4d1backed No | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…e73ebacked No | 64c | 139$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 58c | 137.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 67c | 128$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5a…3d2dbacked No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…e229backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…089abacked No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…e832backed No | 64c | 123$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…6380backed No | 64c | 121$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a0b3backed No | 64c | 121$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…e843backed No | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b9ffbacked Yes | 38c | 115.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 28c | 111$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…aacabacked No | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…1788backed No | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0903…e9d4backed No | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…4117backed No | 64c | 109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 35c | 107$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…12e0backed No | 64c | 106$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…9cb5backed No | 64c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afb…7e6fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…40bebacked No | 64c | 99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…7b05backed No | 64c | 98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 26c | 96.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 96.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 40cpaid | +120%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 69c | 91.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…7a81backed Yes | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…e9b5backed Yes | 29c | 85.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 39c | 82.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 31c | 77.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…b804backed Yes | 34c | 74.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…96e6backed Yes | 30c | 70.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed No | 69c | 68.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Yes | 38c | 65.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…b2bbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 58.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 21c | 57.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 66c | 56.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 35c | 54.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed Yes | 33c | 53.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 33c | 49.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d0debacked No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 42.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 39.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 38c | 38.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 33c | 37.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…119ebacked Yes | 31c | 32.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 56c | 30.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 139 | 71.9%100 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…31e8backed Yes | 40c | 27.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x918b…1cefbacked No | 53c | 24.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 56c | 22.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 67 | 83.6%56 W · 11 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 73c | 20.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…c5dabacked No | 75c | 14.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?this page
- Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Autonomous" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Blackwell" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Data Center" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?No won
- Will Jensen Huang say "GPU" 5+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Google" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Invest" or "Investment" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Microsoft" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "OpenAI" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Partner" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Training" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
- Will Jensen Huang say "Vera Rubin" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.