AI · resolved market

Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e02516cb6a988fb50e1e735b6416d5232a532844bc87ec096b4f634785cd612

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4e17…5aacbacked Yes	39c	156.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c23…fb0cbacked Yes	35c	144.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	457	38.9%178 W · 279 L	-31.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed No	65c	88.74$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.06	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	33c	75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	729	35.5%259 W · 470 L	-57.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	35c	71.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	46%40 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed No	68c	70$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+304.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	64c	61.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	139	71.9%100 W · 39 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No	62c	58.87$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.37	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+112.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes	35c	57.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed No	60c	52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd0…68ecbacked Yes	38c	43.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No	64c	18.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	67	83.6%56 W · 11 L	+10.3wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event