Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2560b8c7a5f3dce6f47caa98d666ed929d33bed87d98c6c3c71f3b9f77876347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a22…1ccfbacked Yes | 10c | 4,470$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,094$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 9c | 751.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 11c | 621.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 4c | 608.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…18f9backed Yes | 3c | 563.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c354backed Yes | 12c | 454$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…22f7backed Yes | 3c | 418.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 48c | 380.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 14c | 379.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 51c | 362.65$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 27c | 353.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 52c | 249.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 48c | 237.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 50c | 235.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 41c | 231.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 218.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 46c | 214.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 212.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 50c | 208.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 15c | 208.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 46c | 204.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…21cdbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 45c | 198.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 9c | 193.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 185.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4fc6backed Yes | 8c | 185.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 8c | 182.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 41c | 148.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 55c | 139.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 135.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 133.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed No | 64c | 128.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 53c | 127.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 60c | 127.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 37c | 114.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 114.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 42c | 111.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 111.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 107.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 104.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 103.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 44c | 102.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 54c | 101.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 100.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 39c | 100.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 47c | 99.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 39c | 98.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 55c | 97.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 93.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…af6cbacked No | 52c | 92.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 58c | 91.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 90.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 65c | 86.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed Yes | 22c | 85.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed No | 48c | 80.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 65c | 76.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 69.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…e01cbacked Yes | 37c | 68.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 64c | 66.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…c3f0backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed Yes | 35c | 58.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 32c | 58.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 60c | 56.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked Yes | 43c | 54.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 41c | 50.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…ef4dbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 37c | 49.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 36c | 49.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 58c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…aee8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 64c | 46.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…c9cbbacked Yes | 38c | 46.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 46c | 45.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 27c | 45.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 53c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 44.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 45c | 43.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 43.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 44c | 42.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 46c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…931bbacked Yes | 44c | 42.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 57c | 40.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 56c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 48c | 35.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed No | 54c | 35.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 46c | 35.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 58c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.