Movies · resolved market
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7f9029377159788ebe4abbc798f638788b00fab1e0c68177a7c19fd2e323fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6468…90e5backed No | 3c | 1,281$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,102$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 60c | 998$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 40c | 876$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked No | 40c | 862$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 60c | 746$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed No | 17c | 560$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed No | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 61c | 555$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 24c | 554$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 66c | 519$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 28c | 517$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed No | 38c | 436$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 24c | 307$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 17c | 274$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 75c | 273.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 18c | 273$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…a875backed No | 38c | 171$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…17ebbacked No | 38c | 168$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…5cd6backed No | 38c | 167$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…db59backed No | 38c | 165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10d…cababacked No | 38c | 162$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…85b9backed No | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…d330backed No | 38c | 156$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…67c5backed No | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…8ad3backed No | 38c | 148$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d8dabacked No | 38c | 147$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…aa4fbacked No | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…75eabacked No | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 38c | 139$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 10c | 124.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 70c | 116$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…838dbacked Yes | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…ac33backed Yes | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…68a3backed Yes | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…88d9backed Yes | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33f…82bcbacked Yes | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…6357backed Yes | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…c849backed Yes | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…6057backed Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…c535backed Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…d45bbacked Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…756dbacked Yes | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…3960backed Yes | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…14ddbacked Yes | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebc…b742backed Yes | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…c51bbacked Yes | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff54…af3abacked Yes | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…017fbacked Yes | 62c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…3031backed Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…fa90backed Yes | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 76.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…31c0backed Yes | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…65ccbacked Yes | 76c | 49.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 36c | 36.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 79c | 22.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…d049backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 72c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 75c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 72c | 14.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?this page
- Will Andor win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
- Will Pluribus win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
- Will Severance win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
- Will The Diplomat win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
- Will The White Lotus win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.