TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Natus Vincere, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere33c14,625$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,826.091,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Movistar KOI72c13,211$9,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.051,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere30c11,510$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.053,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Movistar KOI65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1009853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Natus Vincere34c5,978$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.5714448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Movistar KOI67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.9970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Natus Vincere15c3,199$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+131.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere31c3,028$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.042,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Movistar KOI67c3,000$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.991,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI70c2,709$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.012,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9911936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Movistar KOI65c2,172$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.785339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Natus Vincere33c1,892$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7238640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Movistar KOI66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed Movistar KOI67c1,462$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Natus Vincere2c1,400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024227.7%67 W · 175 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Movistar KOI72c1,373$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.71,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Movistar KOI66c1,300$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.972,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Natus Vincere33c1,197$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0911535.7%41 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Movistar KOI72c1,182$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.245230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Movistar KOI69c1,168$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.591,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5d…b919backed Natus Vincere1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109025.6%23 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Movistar KOI65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Movistar KOI67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Movistar KOI67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33066459.8%397 W · 267 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Movistar KOI67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Movistar KOI66c980$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.230251.3%155 W · 147 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere21c973.84$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.451,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere16c953.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.331,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere14c917.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.151,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Movistar KOI66c888$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Movistar KOI66c887.12$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6290937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere25c875$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.862,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere29c868.66$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25328253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x525a…7038backed Movistar KOI65c833.63$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…898abacked Natus Vincere13c817.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da9…0bd7backed Natus Vincere35c812.02$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere19c796.53$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2878043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere30c792.36$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.861,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Movistar KOI67c775.06$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5940145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Movistar KOI66c772.73$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7325668.4%175 W · 81 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x874e…ab32backed Movistar KOI67c763.85$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Movistar KOI66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5847453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Movistar KOI66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5830360.7%184 W · 119 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…53b0backed Movistar KOI67c755.78$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere33c754.55$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24925733.1%85 W · 172 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316b…5d97backed Movistar KOI67c745.12$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere32c739.2$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Movistar KOI68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2959658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Natus Vincere21c730.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7529238.7%113 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Movistar KOI67c691.48$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.192347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b9…da59backed Movistar KOI67c634.28$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0309…3e4dbacked Movistar KOI67c591.37$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.151283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere34c567.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Movistar KOI69c540.7$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7223674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Natus Vincere15c521.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.822245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Movistar KOI67c504.99$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Movistar KOI68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16027865.8%183 W · 95 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608922.5%20 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI79c472.88$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.762,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere22c456.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Movistar KOI65c416.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6312960.5%78 W · 51 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x560c…4755backed Movistar KOI68c406.82$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.183534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Movistar KOI74c399.98$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10463646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Movistar KOI65c360$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12645366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Movistar KOI66c333.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3365563.2%414 W · 241 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed Movistar KOI66c304.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.553070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Natus Vincere33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere22c302.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.051,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked Natus Vincere36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10854329.8%162 W · 381 L-19.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere32c295.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7120045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe623…9800backed Natus Vincere18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014335%50 W · 93 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked Movistar KOI74c268.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.632470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed Natus Vincere30c256.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Natus Vincere20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Movistar KOI67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.586758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Movistar KOI68c249.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807859%46 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bae…ae9fbacked Movistar KOI67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.524563.7%156 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Movistar KOI66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.620154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Natus Vincere21c234.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1530643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Movistar KOI66c228.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7916858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Movistar KOI64c202.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Movistar KOI71c194.39$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.861,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Natus Vincere26c182.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere34c180.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.411,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Movistar KOI65c165$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Movistar KOI63c164.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Movistar KOI68c155.63$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1521763.6%138 W · 79 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5211…67c9backed Movistar KOI70c152.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.394367.4%29 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb191…9ec3backed Movistar KOI66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Movistar KOI66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5226151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Movistar KOI66c150.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2411667.2%78 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a2…b2c0backed Movistar KOI67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52556%14 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Natus Vincere34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504852.1%25 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Movistar KOI69c145.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.