Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e83ca0a9fee056be871c2170bc141a049a3b12fe0be91e691f405e65f3d0dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 44c | 13,953$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.41 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 9,999$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.1 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 55c | 8,000$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 41c | 5,697$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.67 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 4,890$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.21 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 60c | 4,726$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.58 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,101$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.66 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 3,721$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 2,827$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.78 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 61c | 1,854$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 1,801$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.43 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 59c | 1,259$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.9 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Under | 57c | 1,225$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.86 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 1,031$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.46 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 972.69$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.71 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 60c | 781.75$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 43c | 731$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 42c | 617.7$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 47c | 522.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 41c | 510.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 56c | 505$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 61c | 492.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 37c | 409$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 76c | 400.23$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…263ebacked Under | 64c | 370.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 37c | 188$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 167.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 61c | 162.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 55c | 156.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 61c | 149.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 59c | 134$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 48c | 128.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 61c | 126.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 61c | 60.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 60.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 33c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 41c | 41.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 42c | 41.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 37.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 53c | 37.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Under | 63c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Under | 60c | 28.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…1c8abacked Under | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Over | 47c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 61c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.