Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ee968ce151e10f07629d539387b8d6cf4b46a84cf24613148517239321114b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Aurora, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 47c | 19,062$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.5 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 13,209$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…a623backed Aurora | 55c | 12,761$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 25c | 10,638$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.23 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.96 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons | 72c | 6,205$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.93 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 51c | 6,004$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.84 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…3627backed Team Falcons | 72c | 4,126$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora | 34c | 4,063$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.98 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 53c | 2,997$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.61 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 25c | 2,968$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.89 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Aurora | 34c | 2,937$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora | 52c | 2,550$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.63 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,271$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.73 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Aurora | 54c | 1,703$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora | 28c | 1,700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Aurora | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 34c | 1,504$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,312$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.91 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,301$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.93 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora | 51c | 1,201$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,110$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Aurora | 54c | 1,048$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 71c | 918.23$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 768.94$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Team Falcons | 77c | 735$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 51c | 723.08$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora | 16c | 721.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 717.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 604$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora | 53c | 600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Aurora | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 65c | 561.77$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Aurora | 37c | 546$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Aurora | 54c | 529.63$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Aurora | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 33c | 477.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 467.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 456.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 443.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 432$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 430$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 415.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4520backed Aurora | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons | 47c | 401.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Aurora | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 63c | 375.37$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Aurora | 8c | 359.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Aurora | 34c | 355.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 326.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 73c | 322.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 45c | 320.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 305$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Aurora | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Team Falcons | 69c | 288.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Aurora | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Aurora | 24c | 253.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Aurora | 23c | 251.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Aurora | 18c | 245.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 245$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Aurora | 51c | 243.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Team Falcons | 46c | 234$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Aurora | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Team Falcons | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 54c | 202.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Aurora | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Aurora | 27c | 195.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…f015backed Team Falcons | 78c | 193.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Aurora | 54c | 186.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 186.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Aurora | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Falcons | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 52c | 180.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…7428backed Aurora | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 166$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora | 29c | 152.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Aurora | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Aurora | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 10c | 131.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Aurora | 54c | 127.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Aurora | 19c | 126.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 61c | 121.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Falcons | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Aurora | 23c | 117.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Aurora | 44c | 113.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.