TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c1f…f0e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 51 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$85.5
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Ariane Carnelossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sergei Pavlovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$51.06
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$12.98
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.34
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.88
Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.8
T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.34
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$155.27
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+355.6%+$260.11
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.53
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.36
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.55
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$124.29
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$468.93
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50.57
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-76.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Valorant: Sentinels vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$165.6
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.49
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.09
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+248%+$462.93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.02
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$131.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.