Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05d86704a9592c32047168a2bdbd63e6e5966b85e08588884899cad18ef751e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Esportsof FURIA Esports, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked KRÜ Esports | 51c | 2,551$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.79 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked FURIA Esports | 20c | 2,341$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.31 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 999.58$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked KRÜ Esports | 47c | 807.2$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.81 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed KRÜ Esports | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked KRÜ Esports | 63c | 675.09$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 539.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…796ebacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 499.73$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 487.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked FURIA Esports | 10c | 477.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports | 54c | 455.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…4022backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed KRÜ Esports | 47c | 412.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KRÜ Esports | 72c | 365$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 346.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 295.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 260.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…f0e3backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed KRÜ Esports | 63c | 162.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 158.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KRÜ Esports | 65c | 149.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed KRÜ Esports | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 134.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KRÜ Esports | 43c | 112.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed FURIA Esports | 57c | 109.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed KRÜ Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed KRÜ Esports | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 61.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports | 78c | 49.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked KRÜ Esports | 72c | 48.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked KRÜ Esports | 65c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…e36cbacked FURIA Esports | 46c | 41.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Esports | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KRÜ Esports | 61c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)KRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.