Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c85b32e4a547843dcbc6cb7c0e4ec4d6409ed8b5fe03433d8a15e7586afe88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 51c | 8,722$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.14 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 5,659$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.62 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 56c | 754.54$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.54 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 49c | 699.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Over | 52c | 471.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 63c | 319.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…f0e3backed Under | 47c | 312.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Under | 65c | 303.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 206$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…97ebbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Under | 39c | 190.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 70c | 138.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 134.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 101.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Over | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 80.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 51c | 55.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 50c | 52.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 56c | 42.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Under | 43c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Under | 47c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Over | 58c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)KRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.