TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Sentinels vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof Sentinels, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664a…fc5fbacked Evil Geniuses44c1,874$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.2750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Evil Geniuses35c1,124$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+65.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b6…d248backed Sentinels45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Sentinels66c769.17$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses50c734.86$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.321,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Sentinels47c659.4$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Sentinels35c564.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.436636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Evil Geniuses31c560.66$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.778934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Sentinels68c522.15$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Evil Geniuses40c505.44$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3914533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Sentinels60c500.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Sentinels69c456.17$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Evil Geniuses48c380.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9428541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Evil Geniuses50c373.89$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Evil Geniuses49c334.61$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels44c311.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6642540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Evil Geniuses34c297.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6112750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Sentinels66c272.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4734954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Sentinels60c270.11$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5919337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce18…aff0backed Sentinels11c268.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Sentinels65c267.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…90dfbacked Sentinels73c261.46$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7136…5cdabacked Evil Geniuses56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Evil Geniuses45c249.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.474949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Evil Geniuses32c238.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.757930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Sentinels64c234.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed Sentinels77c227.76$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels46c209.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5742840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37ea…9b3ebacked Evil Geniuses29c208.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses35c201.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Evil Geniuses27c177.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4228541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses29c151.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.761,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1f…f0e3backed Sentinels27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-76.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Evil Geniuses76c137.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.581,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Sentinels57c132$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.248345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Sentinels65c124.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1816046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bb76backed Sentinels76c119.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Evil Geniuses49c118.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.787852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Evil Geniuses63c110.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.147164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93be…af87backed Sentinels67c103.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.678254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Evil Geniuses33c102.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Sentinels42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Sentinels40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked Evil Geniuses29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713228.1%9 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+88.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Sentinels42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Evil Geniuses31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6923733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Evil Geniuses28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9925245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Sentinels52c96.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels29c82.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2457517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Sentinels42c78.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.974032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5211…67c9backed Sentinels64c77.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Evil Geniuses62c77.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7741537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34b4…7a97backed Sentinels20c75.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Sentinels53c72.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Evil Geniuses32c70.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0735331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses31c68.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.711,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked Sentinels74c67.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506045%27 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Sentinels68c64.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2943059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Evil Geniuses35c64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Sentinels70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Evil Geniuses63c59.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2621136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fef…809cbacked Evil Geniuses33c59.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Sentinels65c58.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.327445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…097ebacked Evil Geniuses61c58.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Evil Geniuses54c53.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.698343.4%36 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses27c53.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27db…2859backed Sentinels72c52.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Evil Geniuses25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.518651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Sentinels64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328942.7%38 W · 51 L-13.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Sentinels52c49.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6810758.9%63 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Evil Geniuses69c49.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0932261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1699…5d32backed Evil Geniuses31c45.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+138.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Sentinels73c45.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Sentinels64c42.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…a2d7backed Sentinels65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610661.3%65 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Sentinels54c39.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4514254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Evil Geniuses27c38.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2431046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Evil Geniuses45c38.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.910052%52 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Evil Geniuses33c37.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels67c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Evil Geniuses33c37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7920248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sentinels67c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Sentinels69c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Sentinels77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Sentinels43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses54c30.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa1a…df7ebacked Sentinels56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Sentinels52c25.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1111232.1%36 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…2233backed Sentinels61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Sentinels44c22.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0124140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…f8ddbacked Sentinels51c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Sentinels77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.945569.1%38 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Sentinels61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Evil Geniuses50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.