CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefaca215176156009ad66967f37ddb8de10545abce3139ba6fa3f3119648d4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof TheMongolz, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 9,343$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.94 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 7,505$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 4,000$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.79 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 79c | 3,704$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.09 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 3,501$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.2 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz | 24c | 3,130$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.46 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…7310backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,000$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,973$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.18 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 26c | 2,722$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.34 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,648$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.97 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,580$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 39c | 2,524$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.02 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,479$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.54 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz | 17c | 2,102$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.28 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed TheMongolz | 14c | 2,075$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 2,060$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.43 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,727$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.33 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,725$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,716$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.71 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 1,690$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 19c | 1,647$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,627$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.17 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,603$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 1,444$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 18c | 1,425$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,399$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.39 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,364$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,256$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed TheMongolz | 22c | 1,250$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.01 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz | 13c | 1,150$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,139$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,107$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.77 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,074$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,039$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 1,038$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 1,027$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,019$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,017$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 999.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Team Falcons | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 949.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.09 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 74c | 944.99$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed TheMongolz | 39c | 903.27$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz | 11c | 817.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz | 40c | 762.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TheMongolz | 8c | 756.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed TheMongolz | 11c | 699.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 690$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 689.74$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 673.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.73 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 60c | 653.49$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked TheMongolz | 2c | 624.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked TheMongolz | 37c | 610.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed TheMongolz | 40c | 603.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 56c | 599.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Team Falcons | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Team Falcons | 66c | 599.94$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Falcons | 71c | 589.78$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons | 60c | 577.02$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 565.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed TheMongolz | 3c | 551.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed TheMongolz | 26c | 532.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz | 19c | 528.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 509.41$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TheMongolz | 19c | 503.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked TheMongolz | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed TheMongolz | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Team Falcons | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked TheMongolz | 19c | 423$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed TheMongolz | 11c | 399.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed TheMongolz | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked TheMongolz | 50c | 358.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed TheMongolz | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 347.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 340.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 60c | 339.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 45c | 332.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 316$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TheMongolz | 20c | 311.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed TheMongolz | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed TheMongolz | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed TheMongolz | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 79c | 278.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked TheMongolz | 4c | 262.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Team Falcons | 62c | 261.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz | 39c | 259.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 256.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed TheMongolz | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked TheMongolz | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked TheMongolz | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz | 34c | 243.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked TheMongolz | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 79c | 229.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 19c | 220.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.