CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bee68c401a3d0f431adbcdd872f43a97b5d37f9a6f0684fe45a8be175761dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 4,382$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.9 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 55c | 1,672$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 46c | 1,180$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.34 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 49c | 991.16$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 977.4$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 694.16$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.39 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 500.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 437.33$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…1301backed Under | 51c | 366.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 58c | 328.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 54c | 322.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…b8cdbacked Under | 4c | 252.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 245.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 222.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 217.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 164.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 44c | 90.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…cde6backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 51c | 62.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…d1ffbacked Over | 48c | 62.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 49c | 51.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 51c | 45.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…d286backed Over | 50c | 41.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a23backed Under | 57c | 41.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 52c | 38.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…7339backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 53c | 25.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 55c | 21.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Over | 49c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.