CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f91b3bfe5f8b3d44c3d3352b128d501232c70e9653dce24bae5cc9203d34e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz | 67c | 10,059$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.35 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked TheMongolz | 62c | 4,675$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.49 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 36c | 4,661$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons | 33c | 3,136$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 3,091$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.94 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.16 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,723$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,521$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,262$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.19 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons | 35c | 998.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 715.7$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 617.72$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.23 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed TheMongolz | 61c | 600.06$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed TheMongolz | 64c | 538.76$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed TheMongolz | 60c | 527.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 499.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 495.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 476.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons | 33c | 435.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed TheMongolz | 63c | 421.73$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 374.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 330$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…75e7backed Team Falcons | 49c | 329.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 318.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 302.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 279.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed TheMongolz | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…2acabacked TheMongolz | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 49c | 219.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 203.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d2d9backed TheMongolz | 64c | 200.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed TheMongolz | 62c | 186.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Falcons | 35c | 181.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Team Falcons | 35c | 178.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed TheMongolz | 67c | 168.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Team Falcons | 52c | 157.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 152.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 151.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed TheMongolz | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed TheMongolz | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 68c | 99.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Team Falcons | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Team Falcons | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed TheMongolz | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…e862backed TheMongolz | 66c | 78.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked TheMongolz | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Team Falcons | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Team Falcons | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Team Falcons | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed TheMongolz | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed TheMongolz | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Falcons | 43c | 56.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Team Falcons | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz | 60c | 52.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Team Falcons | 34c | 49.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…b5f5backed Team Falcons | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed TheMongolz | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Team Falcons | 40c | 39.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 39.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…bb3bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked TheMongolz | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed TheMongolz | 67c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed TheMongolz | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Team Falcons | 52c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed TheMongolz | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed TheMongolz | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed TheMongolz | 66c | 23.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed TheMongolz | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…b47cbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…fd2ebacked TheMongolz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.