TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz67c10,059$6,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.3550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked TheMongolz62c4,675$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.496464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons36c4,661$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.393,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons33c3,136$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03735839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked TheMongolz67c3,091$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.945742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.1678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons34c1,723$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Team Falcons33c1,521$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9928549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Falcons33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons39c1,500$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58026743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons34c1,262$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.192,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Team Falcons35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons35c998.93$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.071,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked TheMongolz62c715.7$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.974374.4%32 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons51c617.72$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed TheMongolz61c600.06$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.023154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed TheMongolz64c538.76$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6117460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed TheMongolz60c527.31$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3244343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked TheMongolz65c499.86$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons52c495.34$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.361,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Team Falcons35c476.4$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.744856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Team Falcons33c435.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.758246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed TheMongolz63c421.73$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0420958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked TheMongolz61c374.5$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Team Falcons41c330$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8810062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cbc…75e7backed Team Falcons49c329.41$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz62c318.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked TheMongolz66c302.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.935754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons33c299.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Team Falcons40c279.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz67c253.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7319256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed TheMongolz67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ef…2acabacked TheMongolz67c249.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.99862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz49c219.14$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.812,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons35c203.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ac…d2d9backed TheMongolz64c200.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.211266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed TheMongolz62c186.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3233354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Falcons35c181.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2915641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Team Falcons35c178.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6726245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Falcons47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.94822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed TheMongolz67c168.79$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.714929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Team Falcons52c157.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4310040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons37c152.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5748845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Team Falcons50c151.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked TheMongolz66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5235466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed TheMongolz64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed TheMongolz67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4822654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz68c99.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Team Falcons33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Team Falcons33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Team Falcons40c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed TheMongolz61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.227554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29dc…e862backed TheMongolz66c78.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked TheMongolz64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1348566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Team Falcons33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.753447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Team Falcons34c73.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Team Falcons35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed TheMongolz62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5238754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f7cfbacked TheMongolz49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed TheMongolz46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.448943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Team Falcons51c59.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2524451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Falcons43c56.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.191,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Team Falcons37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz60c52.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.652,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Team Falcons34c49.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.978625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked TheMongolz67c49.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3478…b5f5backed Team Falcons37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182450%12 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked Team Falcons37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed TheMongolz66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.623656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Team Falcons40c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Team Falcons34c39.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2812642.9%54 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe45…bb3bbacked TheMongolz57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked TheMongolz61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed TheMongolz67c30.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed TheMongolz67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8520145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Team Falcons52c29.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0522650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed TheMongolz61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed TheMongolz67c26.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8710851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed TheMongolz66c23.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed TheMongolz61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3115966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…b47cbacked TheMongolz64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.639268.5%63 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc334…fd2ebacked TheMongolz64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.