CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b4cb67023d6836a90c22bae1c42a0ae4b31531a01ed89e01a67c4a1c21f7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed fnatic | 67c | 6,016$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.89 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brute | 37c | 3,077$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.83 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute | 20c | 2,898$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed fnatic | 63c | 1,618$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.23 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed fnatic | 44c | 1,557$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.91 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked fnatic | 64c | 1,487$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.54 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 61c | 1,200$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Brute | 49c | 988.05$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.23 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…66eabacked fnatic | 69c | 981.15$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 70c | 566.73$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 70c | 502.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brute | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Brute | 43c | 464.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.26 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Brute | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 55c | 424.9$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed fnatic | 67c | 400$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Brute | 28c | 367.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brute | 29c | 360.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Brute | 47c | 336$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Brute | 45c | 296.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked Brute | 7c | 294.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed Brute | 15c | 249.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Brute | 20c | 243.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Brute | 33c | 239.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Brute | 35c | 219$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Brute | 37c | 201.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Brute | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Brute | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 43c | 165.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 66c | 162.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Brute | 50c | 154.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Brute | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Brute | 70c | 133.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked fnatic | 74c | 124$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 68c | 111.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked fnatic | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked fnatic | 45c | 110.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked Brute | 55c | 96.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed fnatic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 31c | 67.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Brute | 60c | 65.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 45c | 61.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Brute | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked fnatic | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Brute | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 39c | 47.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed fnatic | 70c | 41.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed fnatic | 51c | 41.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked fnatic | 52c | 41.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked fnatic | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…9291backed fnatic | 70c | 36.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked fnatic | 51c | 35.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked fnatic | 45c | 35.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic | 65c | 34.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked fnatic | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked fnatic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked fnatic | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…d9c4backed fnatic | 79c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed fnatic | 73c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Brute | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed fnatic | 69c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.