Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f29c3b000257e1661b892a8f9a3136242bdd07fc31e572de97895af5f55029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof KRÜ Esports, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 4,170$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.3 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked KRÜ Esports | 29c | 2,900$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed KRÜ Esports | 30c | 1,729$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked KRÜ Esports | 20c | 1,216$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 783.13$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 689.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked KRÜ Esports | 41c | 611.68$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 550$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 430$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…354fbacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 244.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked KRÜ Esports | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 197.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed KRÜ Esports | 25c | 190$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked KRÜ Esports | 36c | 171.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed KRÜ Esports | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed KRÜ Esports | 42c | 89.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…2d0fbacked KRÜ Esports | 50c | 34.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.