CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301def52cad5c5ec3bbf0bb8e1ec4c014a05901cee7e791e77d48668989c2001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 44,000$20,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,062.88 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 61c | 16,702$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ | 70c | 14,352$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,253.01 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 61c | 9,972$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 59c | 5,801$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.22 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 4,825$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.17 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 4,623$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.02 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 3,955$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,899$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed MOUZ | 78c | 3,695$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 3,118$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 2,926$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.55 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,779$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.38 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 2,673$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.15 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,425$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,000$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,877$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,805$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,757$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,500$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,500$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,488$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,363$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,356$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,350$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.9 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 1,343$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.35 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,314$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.95 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,267$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 1,172$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,006$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.36 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ | 58c | 968.18$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.09 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 74c | 945.95$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 945.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed MOUZ | 60c | 932$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 928$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…0d15backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 835.12$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed MOUZ | 72c | 832.94$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 828.62$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 67c | 808.36$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MOUZ | 67c | 769.8$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.03 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed MOUZ | 58c | 730.07$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 709.51$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 708.46$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 694.66$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 70c | 651.97$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 649.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 56c | 600$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 560.52$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 549.01$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 64c | 541.2$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 530$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed MOUZ | 46c | 521.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 518.26$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.04 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed MOUZ | 76c | 510$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked MOUZ | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked MOUZ | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked MOUZ | 48c | 444.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed MOUZ | 75c | 416.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked MOUZ | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 375.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 332.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed MOUZ | 77c | 331.69$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 318.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 317.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 290.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 288.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 280.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 270.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 254.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…30babacked MOUZ | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 65c | 205.61$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked MOUZ | 50c | 202.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 49c | 202.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 201.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 198.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.