CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20cb28f6c59e800177f45e616413b89d1cc507f5ad0f82f2ff928c4b45a0a1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 51c | 6,147$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.64 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 3,864$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 49c | 1,933$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.65 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 1,364$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.62 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 52c | 1,079$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Over | 49c | 988.08$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 47c | 808.19$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.87 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 797.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.31 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 49c | 736.85$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.79 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 57c | 679.25$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 56c | 658.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 595.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 510.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 66c | 507.46$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 38c | 500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 49c | 491.89$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.86 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 470$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 435.63$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 50c | 400.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 344.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed Over | 48c | 244$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 43c | 230.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 28c | 190$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…ebd1backed Over | 38c | 166.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 157.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Under | 52c | 156.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 137.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 34c | 137$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Under | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…1301backed Over | 12c | 102.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 99.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 50c | 98.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…8759backed Over | 48c | 93.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 49c | 92.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 32c | 89.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 79.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…4cb4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under | 50c | 49.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 47.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Over | 35c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 54c | 41.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 52c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…f276backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 69c | 23.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Under | 69c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 70c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Under | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.