TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2258…0eecbacked Lavked51c11,295$5,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,774.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked29c9,274$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.175,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance71c6,500$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance67c3,035$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.791,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Lavked33c2,500$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Alliance46c2,333$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.9118356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Alliance55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Lavked50c1,978$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.224538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Lavked14c1,960$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.135735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Alliance67c1,841$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Alliance67c1,831$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.319343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lavked29c1,785$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.132,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked23c1,704$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.295,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Alliance49c1,700$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.6128960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf981…44b7backed Alliance52c1,554$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.569761.9%60 W · 37 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked48c1,474$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.514,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Lavked35c1,331$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.316738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Alliance71c1,252$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2735861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alliance56c1,078$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.161,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Alliance71c1,041$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4222645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Alliance50c1,022$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.555442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb538…7a1ebacked Lavked36c1,010$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.761283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Alliance50c716.78$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6416850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Alliance62c582.65$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1823072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Lavked59c541.38$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.785453.7%29 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Alliance70c513.52$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.713138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Alliance73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance43c499.98$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Lavked28c475.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5683856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Alliance70c414.29$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2917948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Alliance70c403.62$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0931642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Alliance43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22824942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alliance56c367.65$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.152,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Alliance54c366.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.294261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x891a…7cc8backed Alliance61c366.2$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.578062.5%50 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed Alliance72c349.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2423165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Lavked56c346.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3243544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked24c340$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Alliance58c336.61$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6147447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Alliance42c320$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance67c313.88$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.074,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Alliance50c281.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.26965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Lavked36c280.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.359970.7%70 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Alliance76c263.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Lavked48c253.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5845238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alliance42c248.25$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.235,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lavked19c231.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Alliance70c220.91$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2717759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Lavked9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208520%17 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Alliance50c213.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4614939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Lavked49c205.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed Alliance39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1311243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Alliance22c200$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15721741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Alliance46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.823458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance60c196.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.611,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Alliance36c188$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8421739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Alliance71c170$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.314544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance23c169.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8764439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked41c165$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.582,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Alliance40c159.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8143237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Alliance44c154$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2411254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Alliance27c151.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.319020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Lavked63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Lavked27c146.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Alliance68c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Alliance67c144.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.735466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Alliance69c143.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4720258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lavked17c142.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.336334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Alliance44c139.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0879951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lavked53c136.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.972,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Alliance22c136$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0842427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Alliance69c131.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7838552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Lavked34c123.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alliance52c119.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.324,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed Lavked58c117.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Alliance51c116.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8122650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance78c114.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.581,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Alliance44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6435148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.573,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Alliance58c111.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed Lavked29c111.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6122059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed Alliance61c111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.762391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+45.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance40c109.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.452,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Lavked47c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.219329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Alliance44c106.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8714658.2%85 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Alliance22c106$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6818545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance29c105.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.582,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Alliance61c103.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8740635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Alliance49c102.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked35c101.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.174,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked Alliance73c100.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3220544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Alliance21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7929347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Alliance21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7914545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7933241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Alliance36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6439440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Lavked26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Lavked18c98.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7817837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Lavked66c97.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3e…8869backed Lavked28c94.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2915259.9%91 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.