Tennis · resolved market
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Sofya Lansere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4bf3dff2ec7a05d9bf959b5a0cbd3b9142c249b0be0e69281e5c11d11ef73e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Veronika Erjavecof Veronika Erjavec, Sofya Lansere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8594…3733backed Sofya Lansere | 10c | 3,200$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Sofya Lansere | 39c | 2,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Veronika Erjavec | 78c | 1,843$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.65 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Sofya Lansere | 2c | 1,539$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 1,418$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Veronika Erjavec | 63c | 1,149$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.52 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Sofya Lansere | 17c | 1,100$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 1,039$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…61d9backed Sofya Lansere | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofya Lansere | 15c | 927.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sofya Lansere | 25c | 914.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Sofya Lansere | 18c | 760.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Sofya Lansere | 21c | 754.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Sofya Lansere | 21c | 617$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Veronika Erjavec | 75c | 292.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 255.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sofya Lansere | 22c | 217.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 161.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sofya Lansere | 21c | 151.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sofya Lansere | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Sofya Lansere | 36c | 137.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Veronika Erjavec | 68c | 136.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Sofya Lansere | 21c | 121.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Veronika Erjavec | 78c | 118$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 110.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Veronika Erjavec | 76c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sofya Lansere | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Sofya Lansere | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sofya Lansere | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 74.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Veronika Erjavec | 76c | 59.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 58.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sofya Lansere | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Veronika Erjavec | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 26.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Veronika Erjavec | 70c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Veronika Erjavec | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Veronika Erjavec | 79c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.