MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9d8b2c48b1dfd3f9eac4c6e3788ebc7048ea4eb7c791e81f3ae2114c79e0c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 1,925$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.83 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed KT Wiz | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 961.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 693.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed KT Wiz | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed KT Wiz | 51c | 455$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 431.19$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 419.86$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 359.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 327.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed KT Wiz | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed KT Wiz | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 229.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed KT Wiz | 52c | 193.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 65c | 141.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed KT Wiz | 51c | 138.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed KT Wiz | 50c | 126.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 124.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…ee64backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 108.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 101.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 90.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 89.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 47c | 82.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 80.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 73.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 80c | 69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 50c | 58.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed KT Wiz | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed KT Wiz | 52c | 51.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 50.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…7127backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 40.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 70c | 35.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked KT Wiz | 46c | 30.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 28.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked KT Wiz | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked KT Wiz | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.