TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION55c43,471$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,471.21,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons37c32,918$12,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.616147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION63c24,249$15,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,054.4827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION62c17,000$10,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,459.9596557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons33c16,558$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.9817948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons44c15,222$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.6436041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,55024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons41c11,211$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons28c10,000$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.81,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Team Falcons45c9,961$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,482.236541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons32c9,311$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.4489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons33c9,016$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.0212557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Team Falcons38c9,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4202133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons46c8,648$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.0627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION62c8,040$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.5456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons45c7,521$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.531248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION63c7,406$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.5736248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons40c7,016$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.6969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons38c6,372$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4361,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION70c6,223$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.261,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons37c5,275$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.9429042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION69c5,094$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.511,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90028159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION75c4,834$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION70c4,691$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.031,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons38c4,536$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.9526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION70c4,399$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.1489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION57c3,807$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.0171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8135062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION62c3,063$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.8249455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION60c2,454$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2943344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3516954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.9521650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed PARIVISION75c2,370$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.811654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed PARIVISION58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.973161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb009…7a8ebacked Team Falcons13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION61c2,000$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.821,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Falcons1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons21c1,811$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4350347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f4…bb20backed Team Falcons28c1,713$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-61%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked PARIVISION58c1,607$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.194761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons38c1,527$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6137945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons34c1,493$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION69c1,454$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION65c1,426$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5545750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed PARIVISION56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5726445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons38c1,300$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49325444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons36c1,225$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION63c1,223$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5135951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION60c1,100$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.2446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons47c1,056$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed PARIVISION55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons11c999.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons8c949.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Team Falcons30c894.15$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked PARIVISION58c862.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4122450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION53c849.64$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.331,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed PARIVISION72c841.57$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9454246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc6…13c4backed PARIVISION62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4511449.1%56 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29661548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Falcons31c795$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.455547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION62c786.17$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6730138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Falcons15c757.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5210618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons38c737.34$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.191735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed PARIVISION69c717.96$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.577545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons34c704.34$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.992,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28753652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION74c684.85$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9954753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION71c684.54$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5223459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Team Falcons38c663.87$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.272040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Team Falcons21c660$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.549644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Falcons43c650$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION75c647.77$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9577256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION71c646.95$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Team Falcons31c619.62$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.252334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons38c599.18$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6913442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed Team Falcons38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed PARIVISION52c528.16$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.528042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2420367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed PARIVISION74c515.16$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1619458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons32c506.18$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7831835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19025752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Team Falcons30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons20c499.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4945052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION67c477.1$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.881,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Team Falcons27c457.12$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.365135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked PARIVISION64c455.57$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6712452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Team Falcons42c451.31$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7610040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0386451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Team Falcons26c407.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8814030.7%43 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Team Falcons38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15214454.2%78 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons36c396.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6319242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.