TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mario Gonzalez Fernandezof Luca Castelnuovo, Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Luca Castelnuovo4c3,675$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.258,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c2,078$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.0457842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez76c1,573$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez63c1,547$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Luca Castelnuovo64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Luca Castelnuovo64c1,224$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.0872452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez44c1,001$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5415248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c999.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9685634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c981$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez49c978.5$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.039,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c949.99$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8214657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Luca Castelnuovo12c769.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.962,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Luca Castelnuovo63c749.12$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Castelnuovo31c740.45$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.162,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez39c679.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2122337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Luca Castelnuovo64c461.54$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.391,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Luca Castelnuovo41c364.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.81,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…63a6backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c357$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…3769backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c321$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Luca Castelnuovo56c288$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c270.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.465,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez68c229.93$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4478840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c216.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Luca Castelnuovo30c208$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.141,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Luca Castelnuovo56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c198.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12719756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Luca Castelnuovo34c187.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez44c172.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.551,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Luca Castelnuovo56c168.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8223247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez42c167$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8685637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Luca Castelnuovo63c159.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Luca Castelnuovo63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Luca Castelnuovo63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Luca Castelnuovo50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7580153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…0affbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c133.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x444a…00bebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.358831.8%28 W · 60 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez38c131.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5739254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c129.41$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.821,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379d…05e7backed Luca Castelnuovo64c126.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Luca Castelnuovo39c124.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.031,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d9…9ae2backed Luca Castelnuovo64c119.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Luca Castelnuovo34c119.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.659341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…a90dbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c107.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Luca Castelnuovo55c106.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luca Castelnuovo45c105.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fc…53a0backed Luca Castelnuovo64c101.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Luca Castelnuovo67c101.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez64c101.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.341,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Luca Castelnuovo62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…416dbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c99.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x719e…7f6fbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c97.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Luca Castelnuovo33c91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Luca Castelnuovo56c90.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7339443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Luca Castelnuovo56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Luca Castelnuovo37c88.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3216154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c84.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Luca Castelnuovo56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.889364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4b…50c5backed Luca Castelnuovo29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e04…7127backed Luca Castelnuovo64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez30c77.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez44c75.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4392138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Luca Castelnuovo55c72.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez69c72.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c70.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1539149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luca Castelnuovo52c67.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.045,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Luca Castelnuovo40c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.861,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Luca Castelnuovo56c66.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.431,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Luca Castelnuovo62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6118…f311backed Luca Castelnuovo32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez71c61.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.79875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez35c60.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.391,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Luca Castelnuovo55c58.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.533268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.652,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Luca Castelnuovo56c51.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8489859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez39c48.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Luca Castelnuovo63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Luca Castelnuovo63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez80c46.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4616354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Luca Castelnuovo65c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez80c42.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez40c42.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2423942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6710967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcaf…df98backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Luca Castelnuovo39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8217554.9%96 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Luca Castelnuovo56c37.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7799056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez78c37.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.036048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8349…7d59backed Luca Castelnuovo63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez44c36.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.381,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Luca Castelnuovo56c35.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez78c32.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1120259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…64ccbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez38c31.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07a…cb2fbacked Luca Castelnuovo64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez44c31.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4425250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.