UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d96c93bb065919d83859de3915af389f9152bd2cef7804eb8fdd67c2895a462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cody Haddonof Aoriqileng, Cody Haddon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Aoriqileng | 23c | 15,346$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.11 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cody Haddon | 78c | 15,005$11,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.05 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cody Haddon | 77c | 10,936$8,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 7,040$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.33 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Cody Haddon | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Aoriqileng | 3c | 3,967$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Aoriqileng | 12c | 3,599$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Cody Haddon | 76c | 3,591$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.25 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 3,220$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 2,909$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 2,876$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.07 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 2,409$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.9 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 2,255$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cody Haddon | 77c | 2,202$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.88 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Aoriqileng | 25c | 2,063$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Aoriqileng | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Aoriqileng | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 1,949$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cody Haddon | 75c | 1,770$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 1,714$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aoriqileng | 7c | 1,616$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 1,606$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 1,547$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoriqileng | 4c | 1,441$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Aoriqileng | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Aoriqileng | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Aoriqileng | 10c | 1,058$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Aoriqileng | 25c | 1,025$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aoriqileng | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 900$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 884$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Aoriqileng | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 727.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cody Haddon | 76c | 638.42$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…b628backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Aoriqileng | 19c | 625.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 606.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…27cfbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 560$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Aoriqileng | 19c | 519.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Aoriqileng | 24c | 510.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Aoriqileng | 13c | 504.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…6ff9backed Cody Haddon | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Aoriqileng | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Cody Haddon | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 442.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cody Haddon | 78c | 442.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 440.51$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Aoriqileng | 24c | 417.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Aoriqileng | 5c | 401.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Aoriqileng | 26c | 382.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 380.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 360.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Aoriqileng | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Aoriqileng | 18c | 356.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 329.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 328.11$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 308$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Aoriqileng | 18c | 283.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 275.19$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 269.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Cody Haddon | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Aoriqileng | 18c | 245.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Cody Haddon | 75c | 238.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Aoriqileng | 19c | 234.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Cody Haddon | 76c | 224.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 200.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…80cebacked Aoriqileng | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Cody Haddon | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…a8f9backed Aoriqileng | 25c | 198.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aoriqileng | 20c | 179$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 176.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1d82backed Cody Haddon | 77c | 153.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Aoriqileng | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 137.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 133.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Cody Haddon | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Cody Haddon | 76c | 130.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Aoriqileng | 22c | 127.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Aoriqileng | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 127.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aoriqileng | 20c | 119.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Aoriqileng | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…5899backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 103.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Cody Haddon | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Cody Haddon | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Cody Haddon | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Aoriqileng | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…ae34backed Aoriqileng | 26c | 95.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Cody Haddon | 76c | 94.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Aoriqileng | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Cody Haddon | 79c | 92.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.