Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40bef42b841922ded7e3fd4a8849f9d0dd291606df75a848e924a2dece254c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 60,000$36,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,520.09 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs | 38c | 25,485$9,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,706.65 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked DN Freecs | 39c | 22,504$8,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,776.4 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed DN Freecs | 35c | 15,386$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.02 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked DN Freecs | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 7,223$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.29 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed DN Freecs | 27c | 6,085$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.62 | 281 | 37.4%105 W · 176 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 5,216$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.89 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed DN Freecs | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked DN Freecs | 27c | 4,185$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed DN Freecs | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.98 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked DN Freecs | 13c | 3,473$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.86 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed DN Freecs | 40c | 3,430$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 2,958$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.06 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim Red Force | 66c | 2,564$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed DN Freecs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed DN Freecs | 37c | 2,239$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.06 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…cf01backed DN Freecs | 13c | 2,222$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked DN Freecs | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 634 | 7.1%45 W · 589 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed DN Freecs | 14c | 1,790$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…4e97backed Nongshim Red Force | 67c | 1,754$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed DN Freecs | 40c | 1,675$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.34 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked DN Freecs | 13c | 1,518$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed DN Freecs | 11c | 1,419$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 1,230$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nongshim Red Force | 63c | 1,230$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 1,206$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.82 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 1,198$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked DN Freecs | 25c | 1,100$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed DN Freecs | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed DN Freecs | 40c | 1,012$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed DN Freecs | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 971.79$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 942$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Nongshim Red Force | 64c | 936.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.23 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…1f55backed DN Freecs | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed DN Freecs | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed DN Freecs | 13c | 691.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1,131 | 30.1%340 W · 791 L | -26.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed DN Freecs | 12c | 672.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 666.67$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked DN Freecs | 11c | 624.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 623.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 582.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Nongshim Red Force | 63c | 581.51$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 527 | 50.9%268 W · 259 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed DN Freecs | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 541.51$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed DN Freecs | 38c | 514.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed DN Freecs | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 451.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…c4b2backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 441.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed DN Freecs | 39c | 435$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN Freecs | 40c | 430.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 410$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 482 | 43.2%208 W · 274 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked DN Freecs | 39c | 409$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DN Freecs | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed DN Freecs | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed DN Freecs | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed DN Freecs | 34c | 400$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 352.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…21b8backed DN Freecs | 41c | 348.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed DN Freecs | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…208fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 79c | 327.22$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DN Freecs | 25c | 325.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked DN Freecs | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…2921backed DN Freecs | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed DN Freecs | 39c | 295$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DN Freecs | 18c | 286.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 276.79$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Nongshim Red Force | 64c | 274.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 271.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed DN Freecs | 13c | 260.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed DN Freecs | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…df0cbacked DN Freecs | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed DN Freecs | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed DN Freecs | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…df50backed Nongshim Red Force | 59c | 237.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 222$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 222$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…734cbacked DN Freecs | 10c | 210.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed DN Freecs | 17c | 202.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…3ba9backed DN Freecs | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 339 | 45.4%154 W · 185 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 190.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 179.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…a398backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 170$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed DN Freecs | 13c | 168$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,050 | 46.1%484 W · 566 L | -43.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Nongshim Red Force won
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- First Blood in Game 3?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InDN Freecs won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.