CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ba67c1b627cc4d9ff8d68e4aae0d71cc3e06307daeb0a3d4d05a7087295773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed los kogutos | 14c | 3,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.56 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed los kogutos | 25c | 2,719$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.89 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Sinners | 80c | 2,519$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed los kogutos | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked los kogutos | 12c | 2,013$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed los kogutos | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked los kogutos | 20c | 977.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 19c | 890.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed los kogutos | 16c | 833$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 19c | 521$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked los kogutos | 18c | 389$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed los kogutos | 18c | 365.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed los kogutos | 20c | 298.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed los kogutos | 21c | 219.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed los kogutos | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed los kogutos | 6c | 169.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 20c | 165.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked los kogutos | 19c | 142.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed los kogutos | 17c | 137.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked los kogutos | 18c | 120.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked los kogutos | 21c | 118.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Sinners | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked los kogutos | 18c | 113.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sinners | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 80c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Sinners | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed los kogutos | 18c | 108.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed los kogutos | 26c | 97.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed los kogutos | 18c | 78.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed los kogutos | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed los kogutos | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed los kogutos | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked los kogutos | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sinners | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed los kogutos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Sinners | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Sinners | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Sinners | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sinners | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…a528backed Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs los kogutos - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs los kogutos - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs los kogutos (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.