Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039d063e5e2697c366506b0eb18fea2efeccff05a80c373681fddfd95d6de810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Natus Vincere, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Team Heretics | 77c | 49,037$37,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,279.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Heretics | 69c | 8,226$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.41 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 6,971$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.05 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Team Heretics | 53c | 4,531$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.7 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Heretics | 54c | 4,461$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.11 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 4,132$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.85 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 4,080$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.27 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,021$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.77 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,800$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.99 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 3,663$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 3,421$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.98 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,053$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.73 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,357$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 61c | 2,311$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,051$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.01 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…b256backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,950$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…16bebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,930$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 63c | 1,875$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.29 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,836$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.17 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5f2cbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,777$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,735$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.76 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,692$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.98 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,139$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.42 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,027$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…2378backed Team Heretics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…1e8bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 997.18$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Team Heretics | 76c | 991.6$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…fbbdbacked Team Heretics | 53c | 970$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…2e48backed Team Heretics | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7bf5backed Team Heretics | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Heretics | 77c | 897.44$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 897.4$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 886.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 857.18$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.25 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 855.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 819.53$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 788.36$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Heretics | 61c | 781.22$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Heretics | 48c | 737.93$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.94 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Team Heretics | 70c | 721.38$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Heretics | 71c | 703.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…45bfbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 624.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics | 66c | 610.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 604.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 578.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 546.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 438$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 435$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 428.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 424.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Heretics | 52c | 404.73$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Team Heretics | 78c | 402.9$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Heretics | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Team Heretics | 64c | 396.42$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Team Heretics | 48c | 394$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…c736backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 384.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 375.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 368$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Heretics | 50c | 359.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 354.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed Team Heretics | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Heretics | 61c | 339$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…608dbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 331.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Team Heretics | 77c | 328.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…aae0backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 320.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 320$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Heretics | 72c | 305.42$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Heretics | 63c | 304.31$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Team Heretics | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Team Heretics | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Team Heretics | 67c | 293$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 280.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 235.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Heretics | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 209.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…f38fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 207.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Heretics | 49c | 207$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 201.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 194.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 178.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Heretics | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 164.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 153.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…bcfebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 150.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 143.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Heretics | 56c | 143.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 138.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Team Heretics | 62c | 136.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked Team Heretics | 75c | 133.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.