Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68698ae6f6d90e1ea6cd69ad517ac0be1b16bf95d90a54627632539e2377d1a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 166,406$81,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,732.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 91,623$45,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,776.8 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 39,611$18,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,726.14 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 38,221$23,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,606.08 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed LGD Gaming | 9c | 35,990$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.23 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 30,350$13,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,449.24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 30,246$15,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,675.35 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 24,511$9,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.9 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 21,318$8,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,646.05 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 20,808$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.47 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 20,000$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 17,667$9,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,722.7 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 14,390$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.36 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 11,811$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.15 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 11,553$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.05 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 10,700$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…06d6backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 8,828$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 7,653$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 7,468$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 6,650$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 6,507$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 5,509$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.77 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 5,050$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 5,015$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 5,000$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 4,212$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 4,124$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.04 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 3,637$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.24 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 3,500$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 3,122$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.22 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 3,115$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…83eabacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 2,564$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 2,476$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,186$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.97 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 2,133$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 2,072$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 17c | 2,070$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 1,997$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.82 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,906$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.73 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 1,835$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,825$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 1,812$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.38 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,700$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed LGD Gaming | 1c | 1,473$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 1,417$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,326$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,189$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.64 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,150$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,134$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,124$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.33 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 1,100$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,068$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.17 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.29 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,007$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked LGD Gaming | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 969.61$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 892.91$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.94 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 889.67$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.32 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 875.27$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 868.7$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 844.22$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked LGD Gaming | 17c | 829.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 823.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 781.42$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 16c | 749.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…b01bbacked LGD Gaming | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 703.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 668.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 638.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 612.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 600$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 586$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked LGD Gaming | 20c | 561.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 540$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 517.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 510$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 506.85$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 499.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed LGD Gaming | 21c | 423.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 406.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 405.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked LGD Gaming | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 375.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed LGD Gaming | 19c | 347.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group DXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.