Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7af7b76cc1daa84356c76f9e3584f0c423ba297ca1fde5d35ed1153e1cbf33

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corp GCof GIANTX GC, Karmine Corp GC
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,119 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed GIANTX GC	49c	4,213$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.28	198	60.6%120 W · 78 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked GIANTX GC	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+300%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7876…a162backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+118.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed GIANTX GC	49c	620.64$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.11	255	56.1%143 W · 112 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed GIANTX GC	45c	607.34$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.89	34	85.3%29 W · 5 L	+10.4wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	574.02$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.26	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	563.38$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.42	179	48.6%87 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Karmine Corp GC	55c	365.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.29	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed GIANTX GC	34c	362.75$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp GC	68c	335.71$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.56	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp GC	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	271.7$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.85	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	254.9$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked GIANTX GC	46c	250$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed GIANTX GC	41c	245.71$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	235.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	228.61$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.35	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Karmine Corp GC	64c	200.61$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.93	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp GC	66c	197.06$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	238	47.9%114 W · 124 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp GC	76c	192.3$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked GIANTX GC	50c	190.73$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.07	223	52.9%118 W · 105 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Karmine Corp GC	59c	170.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.75	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	170.28$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	196	55.6%109 W · 87 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GIANTX GC	46c	165$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Karmine Corp GC	54c	157.01$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.01	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GIANTX GC	28c	138.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC	25c	132.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed GIANTX GC	27c	131.02$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX GC	32c	130.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.71	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c98…59e2backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	121.79$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX GC	29c	121$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX GC	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf4…e669backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	107.84$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.84	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Karmine Corp GC	52c	106.92$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.32	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Karmine Corp GC	52c	106.92$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.32	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GIANTX GC	33c	105.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.28	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Karmine Corp GC	52c	102$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.96	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed Karmine Corp GC	60c	100.28$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX GC	42c	100.16$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked GIANTX GC	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.94	258	43%111 W · 147 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Karmine Corp GC	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GIANTX GC	41c	98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GIANTX GC	13c	94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6109…0baabacked Karmine Corp GC	59c	85.26$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.26	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked GIANTX GC	45c	82.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Karmine Corp GC	50c	82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed GIANTX GC	40c	80.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.78	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GIANTX GC	36c	79$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…59d9backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	78.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.9	136	61%83 W · 53 L	+14.8wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed GIANTX GC	50c	78$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.86	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed Karmine Corp GC	53c	77.68$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp GC	58c	68.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked GIANTX GC	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed GIANTX GC	44c	59.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Karmine Corp GC	52c	57.15$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.15	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked GIANTX GC	35c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed GIANTX GC	43c	53.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	50.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	134	46.3%62 W · 72 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Karmine Corp GC	67c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Karmine Corp GC	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	74cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	44.03$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.14	282	52.5%148 W · 134 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Karmine Corp GC	66c	43.27$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.71	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed GIANTX GC	49c	43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	114	42.1%48 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed GIANTX GC	48c	41.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79b…b9eebacked Karmine Corp GC	51c	39.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Karmine Corp GC	50c	39.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.55	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed GIANTX GC	39c	39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x085f…7a21backed Karmine Corp GC	52c	33.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.29	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked GIANTX GC	43c	32.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Karmine Corp GC	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Karmine Corp GC	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	321	57.6%185 W · 136 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Karmine Corp GC	49c	24.98$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe326…f075backed Karmine Corp GC	51c	24.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ca…e129backed GIANTX GC	49c	23.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed GIANTX GC	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerGIANTX GC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event