CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487c3ad7634a93ef0520cb3a35effe90a2cada5357d9eff1cf0628a0139fb38b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WBTof mellren, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed mellren | 40c | 2,242$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 54c | 1,577$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.95 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed WBT | 60c | 500$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed WBT | 60c | 447$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 357 | 48.2%172 W · 185 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed WBT | 53c | 442.47$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed mellren | 45c | 400.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed mellren | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | +17.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed mellren | 42c | 369$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed WBT | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 51c | 297.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 48c | 287.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed WBT | 60c | 279.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 404 | 39.6%160 W · 244 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked WBT | 50c | 214.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked mellren | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed mellren | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed WBT | 67c | 164$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WBT | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 75c | 101.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed mellren | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked WBT | 55c | 92.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed mellren | 41c | 92.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed WBT | 60c | 91.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed mellren | 39c | 81.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed mellren | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 56c | 55.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…8fa6backed WBT | 59c | 44.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 41c | 43.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed WBT | 55c | 39.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked WBT | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked mellren | 52c | 36.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed WBT | 55c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…e416backed mellren | 46c | 25.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.