CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c401f719cfc6bcab526af372850bb1582745b47f70c3db596c46e0fda49f69b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof mellren, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75cb…bc20backed mellren | 73c | 1,340$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed mellren | 61c | 1,042$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.29 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 32c | 658.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 38c | 615.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked WBT | 43c | 612.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed WBT | 30c | 574.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed mellren | 65c | 564.72$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed mellren | 61c | 545.14$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed mellren | 67c | 445$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 32c | 411.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked WBT | 43c | 402.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed WBT | 32c | 306.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…fe39backed mellren | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed WBT | 39c | 253.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked WBT | 39c | 198.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed mellren | 64c | 166.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…66c2backed mellren | 62c | 125.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked WBT | 39c | 93.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed mellren | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed WBT | 31c | 83.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WBT | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 24c | 56.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WBT | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WBT | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked WBT | 37c | 39.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed WBT | 38c | 39.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 61c | 37.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed mellren | 80c | 31.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed WBT | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked mellren | 70c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed WBT | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerWBT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.