TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vexarof Raccoons, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe53f…2f56backed Vexar25c16,186$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,141.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Raccoons75c15,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,25075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa91a…ddacbacked Vexar43c4,268$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.741861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Raccoons75c2,732$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Raccoons78c2,555$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.731,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6445…5213backed Vexar41c2,542$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.592475%18 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Vexar22c2,213$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.665251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexar24c1,980$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.515,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Raccoons76c1,850$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.041,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c6…7457backed Vexar61c1,402$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.085556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked Raccoons67c1,388$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.312035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x609f…fa6fbacked Vexar63c1,175$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Raccoons26c1,042$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e4…fe39backed Vexar53c1,024$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Raccoons8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Vexar57c874.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.878570.6%60 W · 25 L+18.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7759…4ea4backed Raccoons36c807.27$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed Vexar46c790.82$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-31.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Raccoons58c787.65$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0975…0899backed Vexar60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Raccoons45c689.97$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7521850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Vexar51c583.65$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.523,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Raccoons75c541.29$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9761154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…42a6backed Raccoons38c534.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.648048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Raccoons59c521.18$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.510036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Vexar57c506.28$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.745465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe453…256ebacked Raccoons64c405$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Vexar61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569662.5%60 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Raccoons47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18834140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Raccoons76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Raccoons58c389.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.789043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Raccoons75c369$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7516550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Vexar45c358.59$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4929543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Raccoons31c346.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.154,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c9…1f16backed Vexar73c331.6$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Raccoons44c331.09$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8875833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Vexar54c328.69$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.384761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked Raccoons52c281.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Raccoons62c272.76$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Vexar24c260.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.12,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar65c249.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.521845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Raccoons48c249.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6521950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Raccoons76c235.68$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.123360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Vexar22c228.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6411460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Vexar65c216$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.720447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Raccoons75c202.62$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9744552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Vexar25c192$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14449536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd957…acd3backed Raccoons77c181.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Raccoons14c173.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Raccoons75c163$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.255662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Raccoons35c143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Vexar50c139.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.084761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked Raccoons76c138$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.882045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Vexar24c138$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8847054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eba…c7d7backed Raccoons78c132.78$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.944346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Vexar61c130.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed Raccoons76c130.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.811758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Raccoons32c114$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.172,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Raccoons43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6516036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Vexar46c103.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.073545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Raccoons35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Vexar22c90.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5260954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Vexar24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3383856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Raccoons26c83.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.522,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Raccoons75c82.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4961054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Raccoons28c79.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d89…08f8backed Raccoons25c78.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.873636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Raccoons16c73.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Raccoons76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Raccoons76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Raccoons76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked Raccoons31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.055642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…c4f0backed Raccoons42c63.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raccoons41c63.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Raccoons42c54.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0911221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Raccoons54c54.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc883…4ea1backed Vexar76c52.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38375.9%63 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed Raccoons56c52.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.043253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Raccoons73c51.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.953831.6%12 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Raccoons39c51.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Raccoons76c51.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.816847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Raccoons74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Raccoons60c49.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.866346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Vexar23c49.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.942751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vexar22c47.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2a…0620backed Raccoons57c47.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Raccoons72c46.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2414344.1%63 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Raccoons77c46.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3713358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Raccoons43c44.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.244822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed Raccoons43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.085851.7%30 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Raccoons71c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1125551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd365…c28cbacked Raccoons60c40.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Raccoons76c39.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.142,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Raccoons74c39.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95d…17bcbacked Vexar31c38.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Raccoons77c38.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2320957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Raccoons42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.966743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Raccoons52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1222837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Raccoons53c30.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vexar58c29.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.692,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.