CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5f6b4e4cf0fccce32bea97d41a35082102caa996796740b314bf85704a90e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd081…306bbacked Lavked | 71c | 40,295$28,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,776.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vexar | 53c | 7,083$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.48 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Vexar | 25c | 4,800$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.37 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Vexar | 24c | 3,717$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137d…28d1backed Vexar | 24c | 3,717$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…cc50backed Vexar | 24c | 3,717$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 53c | 3,707$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vexar | 24c | 2,899$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Vexar | 40c | 2,738$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.49 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar | 24c | 2,673$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.83 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…7f07backed Vexar | 25c | 2,654$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vexar | 52c | 2,632$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.7 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Vexar | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Vexar | 25c | 2,354$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked | 77c | 1,932$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.04 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Vexar | 36c | 1,882$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.02 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…bf6ebacked Vexar | 24c | 1,859$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…a9e8backed Vexar | 24c | 1,859$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lavked | 36c | 1,714$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.16 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lavked | 79c | 1,646$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.16 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Vexar | 44c | 1,635$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.03 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lavked | 36c | 1,588$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.78 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Vexar | 61c | 1,575$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.93 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Vexar | 25c | 1,569$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…23ddbacked Lavked | 57c | 1,427$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked Lavked | 35c | 1,413$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Vexar | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Vexar | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Vexar | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Vexar | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Lavked | 76c | 1,351$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Lavked | 55c | 1,259$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Lavked | 37c | 1,178$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…9700backed Vexar | 47c | 1,173$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Lavked | 41c | 1,159$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.23 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Lavked | 77c | 1,025$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Vexar | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Vexar | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…8cf8backed Vexar | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed Vexar | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…0792backed Vexar | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Vexar | 42c | 984.32$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…915dbacked Vexar | 24c | 904.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Lavked | 44c | 902.82$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…66c2backed Vexar | 37c | 890.84$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Lavked | 57c | 879.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Lavked | 62c | 878$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | +17.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Lavked | 42c | 836.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Vexar | 22c | 834.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Vexar | 44c | 831.63$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.51 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 34c | 826.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.83 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Vexar | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +340.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vexar | 29c | 797.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Vexar | 52c | 752.85$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Vexar | 48c | 744.43$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Vexar | 44c | 734.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 48c | 691.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.92 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…8165backed Vexar | 39c | 662.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Vexar | 24c | 643.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Lavked | 30c | 598.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.72 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lavked | 55c | 576$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…17b7backed Vexar | 61c | 558.14$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lavked | 51c | 555.42$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…29e0backed Lavked | 40c | 543.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Lavked | 59c | 512.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Lavked | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…f2d9backed Vexar | 60c | 495.81$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vexar | 22c | 493.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…1f16backed Vexar | 47c | 488$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…9e71backed Lavked | 24c | 488$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…5cf2backed Vexar | 65c | 460.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Vexar | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Vexar | 62c | 439.7$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Vexar | 23c | 438.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 47c | 436.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lavked | 47c | 427.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.11 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Lavked | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e31…b876backed Vexar | 75c | 400.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Lavked | 51c | 392.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Vexar | 25c | 367.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Lavked | 57c | 355.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexar | 25c | 333$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Vexar | 43c | 315.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Vexar | 43c | 313$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Lavked | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked Vexar | 45c | 292$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lavked | 42c | 292$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lavked | 76c | 272$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 50c | 271.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Lavked | 52c | 264.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…d554backed Lavked | 41c | 244.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…fe39backed Lavked | 77c | 238.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Vexar | 43c | 229.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Vexar | 47c | 229.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Vexar | 55c | 220.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Vexar | 45c | 212.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Lavked | 28c | 210.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Vexar | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Vexar | 44c | 204$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Lavked | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.