CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c93fae977e390a3fc2722423fee38e6068a78973183c0e13606abfaad401de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof Lavked, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed Lavked | 6c | 1,859$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Vexar | 65c | 1,321$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.15 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 40c | 666.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 33c | 579$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Lavked | 16c | 576.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Lavked | 35c | 503.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Lavked | 17c | 476.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Lavked | 33c | 458.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lavked | 28c | 359.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Vexar | 66c | 261.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Vexar | 64c | 243.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lavked | 8c | 199.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…fe39backed Vexar | 61c | 199.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Lavked | 64c | 182.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed Lavked | 32c | 168.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Vexar | 65c | 161.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 23c | 155.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 24c | 154.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Vexar | 68c | 153.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vexar | 78c | 135.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 29c | 131.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 54c | 123$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lavked | 38c | 97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Vexar | 60c | 83.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar | 66c | 67.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed Lavked | 37c | 59.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 62c | 57.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…c28cbacked Lavked | 44c | 54.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…9e71backed Vexar | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vexar | 59c | 39.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Lavked | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vexar | 58c | 30.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vexar | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lavked | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.