CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845674743b4ea4e96bd981b40ad1ffabbec4215a0be78da356480df5609aa430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd081…306bbacked Lavked | 57c | 2,272$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…4ea4backed Vexar | 46c | 2,159$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar | 26c | 418.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Lavked | 74c | 408.77$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexar | 29c | 333$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Lavked | 76c | 305.94$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Lavked | 61c | 240.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 76c | 201.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar | 52c | 185.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vexar | 16c | 160.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vexar | 20c | 114.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Vexar | 27c | 111.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 17c | 109.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Vexar | 25c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vexar | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Lavked | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vexar | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Vexar | 20c | 74.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Vexar | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexar | 32c | 60.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 68c | 59.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Vexar | 27c | 41.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Vexar | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Lavked | 62c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lavked | 58c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Lavked | 75c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.