Lol · resolved market
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5634e5d86204f3abbf1d12ea5f54ab8c803f37dad0ee55245a66457ec2dfcca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung Tung Bogiof NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS, Tung Tung Bogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 60c | 3,482$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…83edbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 60c | 1,353$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 52c | 1,319$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.74 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Tung Tung Bogi | 37c | 790.44$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 702.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.93 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Tung Tung Bogi | 43c | 666.38$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.41 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 57c | 551.83$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 39c | 470.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…66b6backed Tung Tung Bogi | 46c | 410.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tung Tung Bogi | 32c | 376.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tung Tung Bogi | 13c | 367.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Tung Tung Bogi | 40c | 275.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Tung Tung Bogi | 16c | 274.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.34 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 31c | 272.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 34c | 171.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 32c | 171.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.0wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…a4acbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 72c | 166$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 38c | 154.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 64c | 153.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 45c | 137$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Tung Tung Bogi | 15c | 116.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tung Tung Bogi | 41c | 104$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 36c | 94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed Tung Tung Bogi | 46c | 87.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Tung Tung Bogi | 42c | 84.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 53c | 78.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 49c | 75.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 73.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tung Tung Bogi | 38c | 73.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 41c | 65.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tung Tung Bogi | 46c | 65.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 47c | 63.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 42c | 57.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Tung Tung Bogi | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 51c | 45.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 58c | 44.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 42c | 42.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Tung Tung Bogi | 35c | 38.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Tung Tung Bogi | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tung Tung Bogi | 41c | 31.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 40c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Tung Tung Bogi | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 59c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 259 | 65.3%169 W · 90 L | +23.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageTung Tung Bogi won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 1 WinnerNORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.