CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba9c7185ef29f68cb2395ca46023267d605e061262970ab47c497fce9d4fc25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Color
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 812.48$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Color | 15c | 399.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Color | 26c | 232.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Color | 45c | 169.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Color | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Color | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Color | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Color | 14c | 101.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Color | 31c | 80.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Color | 41c | 79.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Color | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Color | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Color | 35c | 64.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Color | 21c | 54.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Color | 28c | 40.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Color (+3.5)Color won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Color (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.