CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf31139d87250e53b485ad3ed852184d4658d0ea8d45b1c021483a0bf180d855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof WBT, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WBT | 43c | 1,819$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.26 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed mellren | 64c | 1,519$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.49 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed WBT | 41c | 1,034$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed mellren | 56c | 944.42$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.27 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…523dbacked mellren | 61c | 890.64$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed WBT | 42c | 647.82$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WBT | 42c | 613.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…bea1backed mellren | 38c | 573.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 46c | 434.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WBT | 37c | 351.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WBT | 38c | 286.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked WBT | 39c | 269$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed mellren | 46c | 219.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 45c | 207.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked WBT | 34c | 205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed WBT | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed mellren | 61c | 169.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 45c | 160.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked mellren | 63c | 156.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed mellren | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked mellren | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed mellren | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed WBT | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WBT | 34c | 140.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed WBT | 49c | 128$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 38c | 123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed mellren | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed WBT | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked WBT | 22c | 112.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked mellren | 61c | 94.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed mellren | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed WBT | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…c095backed mellren | 62c | 86.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 68c | 78.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked mellren | 65c | 77.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…23d9backed mellren | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed WBT | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked mellren | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked WBT | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed WBT | 43c | 70.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0595…83d8backed WBT | 30c | 60.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WBT | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked mellren | 47c | 52.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked WBT | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WBT | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed WBT | 54c | 43.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked WBT | 45c | 41.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed mellren | 54c | 40.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked mellren | 59c | 38.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed WBT | 45c | 37.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked mellren | 60c | 37.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked WBT | 39c | 32.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed mellren | 48c | 31.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…e3fdbacked WBT | 41c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked mellren | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked WBT | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked WBT | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked WBT | 52c | 24.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f6acbacked mellren | 78c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.