CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31e810f75db3ca01aa8907aa20a1e0a0869e8b13325803e35eb5964dd2cc983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof WBT, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mellren | 51c | 1,496$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.43 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed WBT | 27c | 1,274$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.82 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked WBT | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed mellren | 74c | 575.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked WBT | 24c | 546.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed mellren | 77c | 443.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 44c | 232.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed mellren | 78c | 198.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed WBT | 43c | 193.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked mellren | 66c | 188.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed mellren | 57c | 183.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 36c | 179.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked WBT | 29c | 121.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed WBT | 14c | 94.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked mellren | 76c | 85.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed WBT | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked mellren | 67c | 82.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed mellren | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked WBT | 25c | 60.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked WBT | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked mellren | 72c | 50.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked WBT | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 49c | 37.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed mellren | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked mellren | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked mellren | 70c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed mellren | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed mellren | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.