La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF to score first vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47107a03aa638c1788a79626cf787830a395149b325f684a4517bdc3e9b3c755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa283…2cf0backed No | 67c | 8,703$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…9169backed No | 67c | 2,999$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 2,777$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.56 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,272$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.12 | 893 | 50.1%447 W · 446 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 2,272$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.24 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 2,272$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.24 | 1,087 | 50.6%550 W · 537 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 32c | 1,713$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.02 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…80c6backed No | 68c | 1,498$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…38a4backed No | 66c | 1,090$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…02bbbacked No | 68c | 746.76$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…2399backed No | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 35c | 510$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed No | 67c | 374.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 33c | 360$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked No | 65c | 349.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…1422backed No | 67c | 281.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9627backed Yes | 35c | 278$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 32c | 240.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…d50fbacked Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Yes | 37c | 232$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…96fabacked Yes | 34c | 231.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 33c | 219.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 33c | 180.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 66c | 121$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 32c | 100.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 31c | 79.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed Yes | 34c | 65.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 33c | 64.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 33c | 64.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 33c | 60.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…9b9bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 33c | 45.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 40.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 32c | 39.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF to score first vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña?this page
- RC Deportivo A Coruña to score first vs. Elche CF?Yes won
- RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.