TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed No79c8,647$6,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.8636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes18c5,300$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.526547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes14c4,263$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No79c2,988$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.381,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes24c2,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c1,892$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes21c1,678$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.458530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Yes15c1,497$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Yes22c1,379$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes21c1,320$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.119020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd75…0149backed Yes21c1,306$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.35520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Yes19c1,259$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4916357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No78c1,073$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.391,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c1,055$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes10c1,026$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.091850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes22c848.13$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6225418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes18c650.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes22c634.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.65729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12046464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes22c590.22$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.156533.8%22 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c565.22$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.832,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes18c523.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7310330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes22c499.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4716946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6335…565cbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No80c460$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c18…936fbacked Yes11c446$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.561040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+82%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes18c440$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.214134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes18c433.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4929813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes23c406.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.411565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No80c391.03$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.852,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06d…e9ddbacked Yes21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes19c357.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3816747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes23c326.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.561,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes18c325.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…bb13backed Yes24c287.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707428.4%21 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes19c286.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.251216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes21c266.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5627820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403312.1%4 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes19c266.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes21c239.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Yes23c218.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012020.8%25 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…e297backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b710backed Yes23c208$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8433040%132 W · 198 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4219723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516950.9%86 W · 83 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes21c190$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.930836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes20c188.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4515325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7227…80cebacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No76c163.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes17c151.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.145121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73fb…ed58backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57838.5%30 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3972…0a77backed Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54320.9%9 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x026f…4614backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…0278backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes17c135.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0812058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No47c133.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes16c132.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Yes21c126.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.581020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5828134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2618…f1e1backed Yes22c126.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No79c119.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e45…b092backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes18c116$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.728318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d9…58edbacked Yes22c114.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…3af0backed Yes21c113.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Yes17c111.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.128045%36 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.146743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x139f…bb2fbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206439.1%25 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes22c104.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd503…2dfbbacked Yes25c100.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Yes19c100.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.052615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee8a…9884backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.