CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef26aa02621da1fd9f061c975c12bce4324c5f0e80968aafdfeec026f2364c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof Aurora Young Blood, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 61c | 979.9$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 535.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 480.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 41c | 469.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MASONIC | 27c | 365.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Young Blood | 71c | 361.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MASONIC | 20c | 330$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MASONIC | 43c | 303$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MASONIC | 42c | 237.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed MASONIC | 44c | 234.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked MASONIC | 47c | 228.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MASONIC | 40c | 204.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MASONIC | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 70c | 155.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 135.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 20c | 113.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MASONIC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MASONIC | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed MASONIC | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked MASONIC | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MASONIC | 39c | 84.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Aurora Young Blood | 58c | 78.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked MASONIC | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked MASONIC | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora Young Blood | 74c | 48.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MASONIC | 41c | 46.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Aurora Young Blood | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Aurora Young Blood | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…17c4backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MASONIC | 40c | 38.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed MASONIC | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Aurora Young Blood | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed MASONIC | 38c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Aurora Young Blood | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bd53backed Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed MASONIC | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Aurora Young Blood | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.